Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.003288 0.003447 0.003610 0.003789 0.003980 0.004178 0.004400
2025-06-15 0.002966 0.003199 0.003446 0.003728 0.004043 0.004385 0.004785
2025-06-22 0.002760 0.003032 0.003329 0.003677 0.004078 0.004526 0.005068
2025-06-29 0.002632 0.002936 0.003274 0.003679 0.004157 0.004706 0.005389
2025-07-06 0.002462 0.002778 0.003135 0.003572 0.004095 0.004709 0.005493
2025-07-13 0.002378 0.002712 0.003097 0.003574 0.004159 0.004858 0.005772
2025-07-20 0.002330 0.002686 0.003100 0.003624 0.004277 0.005075 0.006142
2025-07-27 0.002245 0.002610 0.003041 0.003592 0.004290 0.005158 0.006341
2025-08-03 0.002172 0.002546 0.002991 0.003569 0.004311 0.005249 0.006551
2025-08-10 0.002105 0.002485 0.002942 0.003543 0.004325 0.005328 0.006746
2025-08-17 0.002080 0.002476 0.002957 0.003597 0.004443 0.005546 0.007139
2025-08-24 0.002028 0.002429 0.002923 0.003585 0.004472 0.005646 0.007370
2025-08-31 0.001970 0.002374 0.002876 0.003557 0.004479 0.005716 0.007566
2025-09-07 0.001904 0.002307 0.002811 0.003501 0.004446 0.005730 0.007679
2025-09-14 0.001845 0.002247 0.002754 0.003455 0.004423 0.005756 0.007808
2025-09-21 0.001810 0.002217 0.002735 0.003457 0.004466 0.005875 0.008081
2025-09-28 0.001736 0.002134 0.002643 0.003358 0.004364 0.005781 0.008024
2025-10-05 0.001706 0.002108 0.002626 0.003360 0.004405 0.005895 0.008293
2025-10-12 0.001694 0.002106 0.002641 0.003406 0.004509 0.006105 0.008722
2025-10-19 0.001655 0.002066 0.002603 0.003377 0.004502 0.006149 0.008886
2025-10-26 0.001620 0.002031 0.002571 0.003356 0.004507 0.006209 0.009079
2025-11-02 0.001586 0.001996 0.002539 0.003332 0.004505 0.006259 0.009257
2025-11-09 0.001580 0.001999 0.002557 0.003381 0.004615 0.006486 0.009743